Bruins-Hurricanes Game 5 preview, projected lineups, odds and prediction originally appeared on NBC Sports Boston
The first-round playoff series between the Boston Bruins and Carolina Hurricanes is now a best-of-3 after both teams protected home ice through the first four games.
The Bruins are coming off two wins at TD Garden, where they outscored the Hurricanes 9-4 and completely dominated special teams to even the series.
The challenge for the Bruins is playing with that same energy and precision in hostile territory. The B’s played poorly in the first two games of the series at PNC Arena. They were outscored 10-3 and never had a lead.
Brad Marchand’s resurgence gives Bruins new life with dominant Game 4 win
Boston won Game 4 without its top two defenseman, Charlie McAvoy (COVID protocol) and Hampus Lindholm (upper body injury), and they most likely will need to do that again. McAvoy didn’t travel with the team to Raleigh and Lindholm didn’t participate in Thursday’s morning skate. If Lindholm doesn’t play, Josh Brown should be in the lineup for the second consecutive game.
Here’s a preview of Bruins-Hurricanes Game 5.
Key storylines
Will ‘Canes stay out of the penalty box?
The Hurricanes were an undisciplined group in Boston, taking a total of 14 penalties in their Game 3 and Game 4 losses. The Bruins scored two power-play goals in each matchup, and they had nine (!) power play opportunities in Sunday’s win.
Carolina took the seventh-most penalties during the regular season, and it also had the second-worst penalty differential. Going to the penalty box is not an uncommon sight for this ‘Canes team, and it’s something they must address or this series will slip away from them.
The Bruins power play has had its share of struggles over the last month, but the unit is loaded with high-end talent (Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak, Taylor Hall, etc.) and playing with plenty of confidence after scoring five goals in the last eight periods of the series.
The Bruins had an average of 6.33 power plays over the last three games. The Hurricanes need to cut that number in half to prevent the B’s from continuing to dominate the special teams battle.
Will the Bruins’ bottom-six forwards score goals?
The Bruins’ top players, mostly the first line of Marchand, Bergeron and Pastrnak, led the charge in the team’s two wins in Boston. This trio scored six of Boston’s nine goals in those two victories. It was a much-needed bounce back for those three stars after a couple rough performances in Carolina to begin the series.
But the Bruins can’t rely on the Marchand-Bergeron-Pastrnak trio to produce the majority of the offense every night, especially on the road where the Hurricanes have last change as the home team and can match Boston’s best line with the Jordan Staal shutdown line and the Brett Pesce-Brady Skjei defense pairing.
Erik Haula, Trent Frederic, Chris Wagner, Tomas Nosek, Craig Smith, Curtis Lazar and Nick Foligno have all failed to score a single goal in this series for Boston. A lack of scoring depth has proved fatal in recent Bruins playoff runs, and that could again be the case if the seven players listed in the previous sentence don’t generate any offense over the next two or three games.
Projected Lineups
BOSTON BRUINS
Forwards
Brad Marchand–Patrice Bergeron–David Pastrnak
Taylor Hall–Erik Haula–Craig Smith
Jake DeBrusk–Charlie Coyle–Tomas Nosek
Nick Foligno–Curtis Lazar–Chris Wagner
Defensemen
Matt Grzelcyk–Brandon Carlo
Derek Forbort–Connor Clifton
Mike Reilly–Josh Brown
Goalie
Jeremy Swayman
CAROLINA HURRICANES
Forwards
Andrei Svechnikov–Sebastian Aho–Seth Jarvis
Teuvo Teravainen–Vincent Trocheck–Martin Necas
Nino Niederreiter–Jordan Staal–Jesper Fast
Max Domi–Jesperi Kotkaniemi–Derek Stepan
Defensemen
Jaccob Slavin–Tony DeAngelo
Brady Skjei–Brett Pesce
Brendan Smith–Ian Cole
GoalieÂ
Antti Raanta
Odds
Moneyline
Hurricanes: -145
Bruins: +125
Over/Under Total Goals
Over 6: +100
Under 6: -121
All lines via PointsBet
Prediction
Bruins win 3-2